Quills Picks Winners – Wednesday 10/21 – Keeneland Race 7

After a few days at my home track, we head down to Keeneland for today’s race of the day. Our featured race is seventh race of an eight-race card as a field of 11 horses will race a mile and a sixteenth in an allowance race.

Keeneland Race 7 – Allowance

Favored in our featured race is the 4 Pagode (5/2 morning line). He started slowly at Churchill Downs last month but was near the pace in the allowance race. He did fight hard to the finish, but he could not get to the winner that day. Look for him to show a strong closing kick this afternoon.

The 3 Freddie B (5/1 ML) did not fire in an allowance race at Belmont last month going a mile. He will go two turns for the first time here and expect him to be stalking the pace here this afternoon.

The 11 Bourbon Flight (7/2 ML) will go turf to dirt today after rallied late for second at Kentucky Downs. He won three in a row previously on the main track at Ellis Park and Churchill Downs settling towards the rear and making a late move. Look for that today with the far outside post this afternoon.

The 5 Wonder Mist (6/1 ML) appears to be the speed of this race. He went two turns on dirt for the first time in the St. Louis Derby at Fairmount Park and was very game in defeat. Look for him to try and steal this race on the front end today.

Joe’s Pick

This looks like this could be a race where someone with a strong closing kick will get up late for the win. Though he has the outside post here, I think that Bourbon Flight will be able to settle towards the back of the pack and get up late for the win here today.

I’m calling this race 11-4-3-5 and my play is $20 to win on the 11. Best of luck and I’ll see you in the winner’s circle!